Can the sustainable development goals for cancer be met in Brazil? A population-based study

Background: A one-third reduction in premature mortality (30-69 years) from chronic noncommunicable diseases is goal 3.4 of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UN SDG). The burden of NCDs is expected to continue to increase in low- and middle-income countries, including Brazil. Objecti...

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Principais autores: Souza, Dyego Leandro Bezerra de, Cancela, Marianna De Camargo, Martins, Luıs Felipe Leite, Borges, Leonardo, Schilithz, Arthur Orlando, Hanly, Paul, Sharp, Linda, Pearce, Alison, Soejomataram, Isabelle
Outros Autores: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8426-3120
Formato: article
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Frontiers Media
Assuntos:
sustainable development goal
cancer premature mortality
mortality predictions
mortality trends
cancer epidemiology
population-based
Endereço do item:https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/54654
https://doi.org/10.3389/fonc.2022.1060608
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spelling ri-123456789-546542023-09-01T15:25:42Z Can the sustainable development goals for cancer be met in Brazil? A population-based study Souza, Dyego Leandro Bezerra de Cancela, Marianna De Camargo Martins, Luıs Felipe Leite Borges, Leonardo Schilithz, Arthur Orlando Hanly, Paul Sharp, Linda Pearce, Alison Soejomataram, Isabelle https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8426-3120 sustainable development goal cancer premature mortality mortality predictions mortality trends cancer epidemiology population-based Background: A one-third reduction in premature mortality (30-69 years) from chronic noncommunicable diseases is goal 3.4 of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UN SDG). The burden of NCDs is expected to continue to increase in low- and middle-income countries, including Brazil. Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess geographical and temporal patterns in premature cancer mortality in Brazil between 2001 and 2015 and to predict this to 2030 in order to benchmark against the 3.4 SDG target. Methods: We used data on deaths from cancer in those aged 30-69, by age group, sex and cancer site, between 2001 and 2015 from the National Mortality Information System of Brazil (SIM). After correcting for ill-defined causes, crude and world age-standardised mortality rates per 100,000 inhabitants were calculated nationally and for the 5 regions. Predictions were calculated using NordPred, up to 2030. Results: The difference in observed (2011-2015) and predicted (2026-2030) mortality was compared against the SDG 3.4 target. Between 2011-2015 and 2026-2030 a 12.0% reduction in premature cancer age-standardised mortality rate among males and 4.6% reduction among females is predicted nationally. Across regions this varied from 2.8% among females in North region to 14.7% among males in South region. Lung cancer mortality rates are predicted to decrease among males but not among females nationally (men 28%, females 1.1% increase) and in all regions. Cervical cancer mortality rates are projected to remain very high in the North. Colorectal cancer mortality rates will increase for both sexes in all regions except the Southeast. Conclusions and recommendation: Cancer premature mortality is expected to decrease in Brazil, but the extent of the decrease will be far from the SDG 3.4 target. Nationally, only male lung cancer will be close to reaching the SDG 3.4 target, reflecting the government’s long-term efforts to reduce tobacco consumption. Projected colorectal cancer mortality increases likely reflect the epidemiological transition. This and, cervical cancer control will continue to be major challenges. These results will help inform strategic planning for cancer primary prevention, early detection and treatment programs; such initiatives should take cognizance of the regional differences highlighted here 2023-09-01T15:25:13Z 2023-09-01T15:25:13Z 2023 article SOUZA, Dyego Leandro Bezerra de; CANCELA, Marianna de Camargo; MARTINS, Luís Felipe Leite; BORGES, Leonardo; SCHILITHZ, Arthur Orlando; HANLY, Paul; SHARP, Linda; PEARCE, Alison; SOEJOMATARAM, Isabelle. Can the sustainable development goals for cancer be met in Brazil? A population-based study. Frontiers In Oncology, [S.L.], v. 12, p. 1, 10 jan. 2023. Frontiers Media SA. http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fonc.2022.1060608. Disponível em: https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/oncology/articles/10.3389/fonc.2022.1060608/full. Acesso em: 30 ago. 2023. https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/54654 https://doi.org/10.3389/fonc.2022.1060608 en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ application/pdf Frontiers Media
institution Repositório Institucional
collection RI - UFRN
language English
topic sustainable development goal
cancer premature mortality
mortality predictions
mortality trends
cancer epidemiology
population-based
spellingShingle sustainable development goal
cancer premature mortality
mortality predictions
mortality trends
cancer epidemiology
population-based
Souza, Dyego Leandro Bezerra de
Cancela, Marianna De Camargo
Martins, Luıs Felipe Leite
Borges, Leonardo
Schilithz, Arthur Orlando
Hanly, Paul
Sharp, Linda
Pearce, Alison
Soejomataram, Isabelle
Can the sustainable development goals for cancer be met in Brazil? A population-based study
description Background: A one-third reduction in premature mortality (30-69 years) from chronic noncommunicable diseases is goal 3.4 of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UN SDG). The burden of NCDs is expected to continue to increase in low- and middle-income countries, including Brazil. Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess geographical and temporal patterns in premature cancer mortality in Brazil between 2001 and 2015 and to predict this to 2030 in order to benchmark against the 3.4 SDG target. Methods: We used data on deaths from cancer in those aged 30-69, by age group, sex and cancer site, between 2001 and 2015 from the National Mortality Information System of Brazil (SIM). After correcting for ill-defined causes, crude and world age-standardised mortality rates per 100,000 inhabitants were calculated nationally and for the 5 regions. Predictions were calculated using NordPred, up to 2030. Results: The difference in observed (2011-2015) and predicted (2026-2030) mortality was compared against the SDG 3.4 target. Between 2011-2015 and 2026-2030 a 12.0% reduction in premature cancer age-standardised mortality rate among males and 4.6% reduction among females is predicted nationally. Across regions this varied from 2.8% among females in North region to 14.7% among males in South region. Lung cancer mortality rates are predicted to decrease among males but not among females nationally (men 28%, females 1.1% increase) and in all regions. Cervical cancer mortality rates are projected to remain very high in the North. Colorectal cancer mortality rates will increase for both sexes in all regions except the Southeast. Conclusions and recommendation: Cancer premature mortality is expected to decrease in Brazil, but the extent of the decrease will be far from the SDG 3.4 target. Nationally, only male lung cancer will be close to reaching the SDG 3.4 target, reflecting the government’s long-term efforts to reduce tobacco consumption. Projected colorectal cancer mortality increases likely reflect the epidemiological transition. This and, cervical cancer control will continue to be major challenges. These results will help inform strategic planning for cancer primary prevention, early detection and treatment programs; such initiatives should take cognizance of the regional differences highlighted here
author2 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8426-3120
author_facet https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8426-3120
Souza, Dyego Leandro Bezerra de
Cancela, Marianna De Camargo
Martins, Luıs Felipe Leite
Borges, Leonardo
Schilithz, Arthur Orlando
Hanly, Paul
Sharp, Linda
Pearce, Alison
Soejomataram, Isabelle
format article
author Souza, Dyego Leandro Bezerra de
Cancela, Marianna De Camargo
Martins, Luıs Felipe Leite
Borges, Leonardo
Schilithz, Arthur Orlando
Hanly, Paul
Sharp, Linda
Pearce, Alison
Soejomataram, Isabelle
author_sort Souza, Dyego Leandro Bezerra de
title Can the sustainable development goals for cancer be met in Brazil? A population-based study
title_short Can the sustainable development goals for cancer be met in Brazil? A population-based study
title_full Can the sustainable development goals for cancer be met in Brazil? A population-based study
title_fullStr Can the sustainable development goals for cancer be met in Brazil? A population-based study
title_full_unstemmed Can the sustainable development goals for cancer be met in Brazil? A population-based study
title_sort can the sustainable development goals for cancer be met in brazil? a population-based study
publisher Frontiers Media
publishDate 2023
url https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/54654
https://doi.org/10.3389/fonc.2022.1060608
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