É possível confiar nos excessos? Avaliando o excesso de confiança em conhecimentos políticos
Overconfidence is one of the most widely studied and discussed self-assessment biases in the literature. However, it is still not widespread in Brazil, with most of the works focusing on the area of behavioral finance. Much is discussed about the human tendency to exacerbate their own evaluations, t...
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Formato: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | pt_BR |
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Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte
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Endereço do item: | https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/45614 |
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Resumo: | Overconfidence is one of the most widely studied and discussed self-assessment biases in the
literature. However, it is still not widespread in Brazil, with most of the works focusing on the
area of behavioral finance. Much is discussed about the human tendency to exacerbate their
own evaluations, the accuracy of which in judging their performance is reported as little or
none. Some factors are pointed out as possible drivers of self-assessment biases, such as the
subject's familiarity with the analyzed topic. Over the years, some results have been
superimposed in the literature, and some terms end up covering more than one behavior.
Therefore, measures of overestimation, overplacement, and overconfidence in 400 adults
subjects were assessed in relation to their performance in a questionnaire on Brazilian
political knowledge. The results indicated the existence of the studied behaviors, but to a
lesser extent than previously reported in the literature; the most prominent behavior in our
sample was the overplacement of one’s rank in relation to the others. The methodological
aspects involved in the study of these biases are discussed within the possible factors
associated with the exacerbation of previous results and the need to delimit an specific theme
when analyzing self-assessments. |
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