Desindustrialização setorial brasileira na perspectiva do comércio exterior
To reflect on the problem of deindustrialization is to understand the importance of the sector in the growth trajectory of the main economies in the world. The sectorally disaggregated analysis of deindustrialization demonstrates the differences that exist within the manufacturing sector, which,...
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| Formato: | Dissertação |
| Idioma: | pt_BR |
| Publicado em: |
Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte
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| Endereço do item: | https://repositorio.ufrn.br/handle/123456789/33021 |
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| Resumo: | To reflect on the problem of deindustrialization is to understand the importance
of the sector in the growth trajectory of the main economies in the world. The
sectorally disaggregated analysis of deindustrialization demonstrates the
differences that exist within the manufacturing sector, which, in turn, influence
their ability to contribute to the growth of countries. In this perspective, the
present work has as main objective to analyze the sectoral deindustrialization of
the Brazilian economy in the period of 1948-2018, focusing on international
trade. In addition to specific objectives such as: investigating the country's
participation in world exports, highlighting the direct and indirect effect of trade
relations between Brazil-China, through key variables in this process such as
international trade, among others. Thus, the hypothesis underlying the study is
that there is a reduction in the 'aggregate' and 'unbundled' participation in the
Brazilian manufacturing sector, aggravated by the recent increase in
competition with China in the foreign and domestic markets. The justification of
the study considers the current state of knowledge and is based on the
importance of contributing to the literature on the discussion of
deindustrialization from the perspective of international trade through sectoral
analysis. As an empirical strategy, the evolution in the participation of the
variable’s employment, added value, international trade and the pattern of
competition between Brazil and China in third markets was analyzed, these
data integrate a time frame that comprises the years 1948 to 2018, aiming to
offer a comprehensive diagnosis of early deindustrialization in Brazil. To this
end, it carried out a methodology that is characterized as exploratory with a
statistical focus that enables both a quantitative and qualitative description. The
results of the aggregate analysis (1962-2018) indicate that there has been a
process of deindustrialization in Brazil since 1985 from the perspective of
international trade. The disaggregated analysis of the manufacturing sector in
Brazil (1990-2018) shows a heterogeneity, with deindustrialization in some
sectors of higher technology and industrialization in some of less technological
intensity. Also, it was identified that China had a direct and indirect impact on
the deindustrialization of different manufacturing sectors in the country,
especially those with less technological intensity. |
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